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BTC target ladder

What price will Bitcoin hit before 2027?

Current demo curve reflects BTC near $81K: lower targets trade higher, farther targets need bigger convexity.

Multi-outcome marketSelect expiry · trade YES/NO
5 outcomes

$90K

≥ $90K close

Chance

69%

+7 pts · 581K

$100K

≥ $100K close

Chance

47%

-38 pts · 1.56M

Order book · YESSpread · 2¢
PriceSharesTotal
53¢900$478
52¢770$401
51¢641$328
50¢557$279
49¢428$210
48¢299$144
Last · 47¢Spread · 2¢
46¢325$149
45¢409$184
44¢538$236
43¢667$286
42¢751$314
41¢881$360

Selected outcome

$100K

YES chance

47%

24h volume

1.56M

Execution id

btc-2026-eoy::tgt-100

$110K

≥ $110K close

Chance

31%

-12 pts · 861K

$120K

≥ $120K close

Chance

19%

-4 pts · 712K

$130K

≥ $130K close

Chance

15%

-5 pts · 934K

DCA / TWAP demo

Build a position in $100K.

The demo creates a three-slice accumulate order for the selected option id, so share accounting lands on btc-2026-eoy::tgt-100.

Implied probability

47¢

-31.0 pts

80¢65¢50¢35¢20¢

High

78¢

Low

47¢

Ticks

12